懶人趨勢交易與回測結果

簡介

歡迎來到趨勢交易回測的展示平台，會每天定期更新進出場訊號 (左邊 Dashboard)。
也可以從查看歷史回測績效了解此趨勢交易於不同標的的獲利情形與勝率 (左邊 Detailed Data)。
若覺得內容不錯就請我喝一杯咖啡。

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Introduction

Welcome to the Trend Trading Backtest Showcase Platform!
The platform updates the entry and exit signals daily (see the Dashboard on the left).
You can also check historical backtest performance to understand the profitability and win rate of this trend-trading strategy across different assets (see Detailed Data on the left).
If you find the content helpful, feel free to buy me a cup of coffee!

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策略說明

此策略不需要刻意看盤，當進場訊號出現後。
於當天開盤前掛預約單 (預約單價格掛昨天收盤價+10%，確保可以100%使用開盤價進場) 當天開盤價買進即可。
出場訊號也是，出現出場訊號也是當天開盤前掛預約單(昨天收盤價-10%)於當天開盤價賣出。

特性:
屬於中期波段策略，買進與賣出的價格都是開盤價，因此都只要提早掛單就好，也不用特別關注盤中行情，屬於非常懶人的投資策略。
其中，備有停損機制也可以有效控制虧損。
並在Dashboard證明，此策略的績效優於長期擺著不賣 (benchmark)，並且也介接證明優於定期定額。
雖然是懶人投資卻又優於定期定額。

Strategy Description

This strategy does not require active market monitoring.
When a buy signal appears, simply place a pre-market limit order at yesterday's closing price +10% before the market opens.
This ensures a 100% chance of buying at the opening price on the same day.
The same applies to sell signals—place a pre-market limit order (yesterday’s close -10%) to sell at the opening price on the day the signal appears.

Characteristics:
This is a mid-term swing trading strategy. Both buy and sell orders are executed at the market open, so investors only need to place orders in advance—there's no need to monitor intraday price movements. It is truly a "lazy investor" strategy.
A stop-loss mechanism is also included to effectively control downside risk.
As shown on the Dashboard, this strategy outperforms simply holding the ETF long-term (the benchmark), and it also demonstrates better performance than regular dollar-cost averaging.
Although it's designed for lazy investors, it still beats dollar-cost averaging.

Example:

1. SCHG進場訊號於4/10出現，4/10 開盤價(24.25)買進

1. A buy signal for SCHG appeared on April 10. The position was entered at the opening price of $24.25 on the same day.

2. 接著就等信號出場

2. Then, we simply wait for the exit signal.

標的選擇

使用被動型的ETF進行回測與交易，如:SPY / VTI / SCHG等等。
選擇原因是一般人長期績效很難贏過大盤，因此我只要贏大盤就等於贏過一般人了。

Asset Selection

This strategy focuses on backtesting and trading passive ETFs, such as SPY, VTI or SCHG.
The reason is simple — most individual investors find it difficult to outperform the market over the long run. So if my strategy can beat the market, that effectively means I'm outperforming most people.

展示項目

1. VTI交易訊號燈/ 回測結果圖
2. 相同策略用於各項標得的績效

What’s on Display

1. VTI trading signal indicator / Backtest performance chart
2. Performance of the same strategy applied to various ETFs

交易訊號更新時間

訊號每天於亞洲/台北時間（UTC+8）上午 11:00 更新。

Signal Update Time

Signals are updated daily at 11:00 AM (UTC+8), Asia/Taipei time.

請注意，所有結果均為模擬數據，僅供學習與研究之用，不代表未來實際收益。
Note: All results are simulated data for educational and research purposes only and do not represent future actual performance.